Australia vs India 2025 3rd T20I Match Prediction & Odds

November 1, 2025
Australia

Men

VS
Melbourne Cricket Ground, Melbourne
02 November 07:15 PM
India

Men

Prediction: India Men – 55%
Yet To Be Started
1
2

The second T20I at the MCG was brutal. India managed 125. Hazlewood ripped through them with figures of 3 for 13. Australia chased it down with 40 balls still in hand.

Only Abhishek Sharma showed up, scoring 68 off 37 on a pitch that moved and bounced like it had a grudge. The first match in Canberra got washed out after India reached 97 for 1 in 9.4 overs.

Gill and Suryakumar looked comfortable before the rain came. Now Australia leads 1-0. Hobart waits. India needs an answer.

This article has the details of the match, with a full pitch report and a weather report to determine the odds. I have also compiled the odds from different sources for who is going to win. The key players section will help you in novelties based on individual performances.

India vs Australia 3rd T20I – Match Details

Hobart has hosted just eight T20 Internationals since 2011, making it one of Australia’s least-used venues for the format. Teams batting second have won exactly half those matches, suggesting the toss advantage remains minimal at Bellerive Oval.

SeriesIndia tour of Australia 2025 T20Is
Match3rd T20I
DateNovember 2, 2025
Time1:45 PM IST (7:15 PM LOCAL)
VenueBellerive Oval, Hobart

Bellerive sits on Hobart’s eastern shore. The average first-innings T20I score here is 147 runs. The venue added floodlights in 2009. Teams chasing have a 50 percent success rate. The toss means less here than at most Australian grounds.

India Tour Of Australia 2025 – Squads

India travels with a 17-player squad while Australia named 21 players for this series, reflecting their deeper bench strength at home.

Hazlewood departs after Melbourne to prepare for the Ashes, heading to Sheffield Shield cricket next week, opening space for Starc or Bartlett to stake claims in the pace attack.

India Squad (3rd T20I): Suryakumar Yadav (C), Shubman Gill (VC), Abhishek Sharma, Tilak Varma, Nitish Kumar Reddy, Shivam Dube, Axar Patel, Jitesh Sharma, Sanju Samson, Rinku Singh, Washington Sundar, Kuldeep Yadav, Varun Chakravarthy, Jasprit Bumrah, Arshdeep Singh, and Harshit Rana.

Australia Squad (3rd T20I): Mitchell Marsh (C), Travis Head, Matt Renshaw, Matthew Short, Marnus Labuschagne, Mitchell Owen, Cooper Connolly, Alex Carey, Josh Inglis, Xavier Bartlett, Nathan Ellis, Ben Dwarshuis, Josh Hazlewood, Mitchell Starc, Adam Zampa, Matthew Kuhnemann, Mahli Beardman, Tim David, Marcus Stoinis, and Josh Philippe.

Hazlewood won’t play beyond the second T20I. He leaves for the Ashes. Australia can bring in fresh options with the series already in its pocket.

India vs Australia 3rd T20I – Pitch Report

Bellerive Oval, also known as the Ninja Stadium, has witnessed scores above 200 just once in T20I cricket, when England posted 200/9 in 2011.

The highest successful chase here stands at 174, achieved by Pakistan against Australia in 2019 when Babar Azam scored 66 off 46 balls.

AspectDetails
BehaviourGood pace, some bounce, batters enjoy an even surface
Batting AssistanceTrue bounce, easier to play shots post power play
Bowling AssistanceEarly movement for pacers, spin can be effective later
DimensionsMedium-sized, assists both shot-making and containment
Historic Avg 1st Innings Score~155 in T20Is
Toss/PreferenceTeams prefer bowling first (chasing preferred)

Seamers get early help at Bellerive. Movement and bounce with the new ball, especially under lights in the evening. Once the shine wears off, batting becomes easier. The pitch flattens through the middle overs.

India vs Australia 3rd T20I – Pitch Report
Source: NinjaStadium

Short square boundaries of 62-64 meters reward clean hitting. Straight boundaries stretch to 75-78 meters. Spinners struggle to grip the surface. Pace rules throughout.

India vs Australia 3rd T20I – Weather Report

Hobart receives an average of 56 millimeters of rainfall during November, spread across 13 days of the month. The city sits in a rain shadow created by Mount Wellington, which often protects it from heavy downpours that hit Tasmania’s west coast.

AspectForecast
TemperatureMaximum 18°C, Minimum 11°C
WeatherCloudy with a moderate chance of showers
Precipitation55% chance during the evening
HumidityModerate
WindLight, 10-15 km/h, from south-west

November weather in Hobart brings cooler temperatures. Rain threatens. The forecast shows cloud cover persisting through match hours. A 55 percent chance of rain during the evening session. Humidity sits in the moderate range.

Enough to help the ball move early. Not heavy enough to affect grip significantly. Light winds from the south-west won’t alter ball flight much.

India vs Australia – Head-to-Head Stats in T20Is

India’s 20 victories from 32 matches give them a 62.5 percent win rate in this rivalry, the highest they hold against any major cricketing nation. Australia has never won more than two consecutive T20Is against India since the format began in 2007.

MatchesIndia winAustralia winNo result
3220111

India dominates this fixture. 20 wins from 32 encounters. They built their advantage through strong performances at home and during ICC tournaments. Australia’s MCG victory was their 11th. Their second-largest margin against India by balls remaining.

Some Other Head-to-Head Stats in T20Is

  • Highest Total: India – 209/4, Australia – 201/7
  • Lowest Total: India – 74, Australia – 86
  • Most runs: India – Virat Kohli (794), Australia – Glenn Maxwell (574)
  • Most wickets: India – Jasprit Bumrah (17), Australia – Jason Behrendorff (13)

Kohli’s 794 runs against Australia tower over everyone else. He’s not in the current squad. Bumrah’s 17 wickets make him the most successful bowler in India-Australia T20Is. He returned to Melbourne after resting for the first match.

Maxwell’s 574 runs remain the Australian benchmark despite his absence. India has been bowled out for 74 and 125 in Australia. Their vulnerability to pace and bounce when conditions assist is exposed.

Winning & Toss Odds For India vs Australia 3rd T20I

The odds favor India despite their MCG collapse, reflecting bookmaker confidence in their ability to bounce back. Betting markets have correctly predicted the winner in 68 percent of India-Australia T20Is over the past three years, making odds a reasonably reliable indicator.

PlatformIndia Win OddsAustralia Win Odds
Stake1.423.7
1xBet1.453.2
4RABET1.444.2
BETVIBE1.464.6

Bookmakers still back India. Odds range from 1.42 to 1.46 for an Indian victory. This reflects India’s superior head-to-head record. The belief that the MCG performance was an anomaly. Australia’s odds stretch between 3.2 and 4.6.

Markets see them as underdogs even with a series lead and home advantage. The odds may shift if the weather threatens. Or if team news emerges about Bumrah’s workload management.

Key Players To Watch In India vs Australia 3rd T20I

Six players in this match rank among the top 30 in ICC T20I rankings across batting, bowling, or all-rounder categories. Abhishek Sharma currently sits at No.1 in batting rankings while Varun Chakravarthy holds the No.2 position among bowlers globally.

PlayerReason
Abhishek SharmaScored 68 off 37 balls at the MCG when no other Indian batter passed 35, currently holds the No.1 T20I batting ranking with 907 rating points.
Travis HeadSuffered a dramatic form slump in 2025 with just 57 runs in four T20Is at a strike rate of 111.76 after dominating in 2024 with 539 runs at an 178.47 strike rate.
Jasprit BumrahWon Player of the Tournament at the 2024 T20 World Cup with 15 wickets at 4.17 economy, leads all bowlers in India-Australia T20Is with 17 scalps.
Mitchell MarshStruck maiden T20I century (103 not out off 50 balls) against New Zealand last month, recently crossed 2,000 T20I runs to become the fourth Australian to reach the milestone.
Varun ChakravarthyPicked up 2 for 23 in Melbourne, including Travis Head’s wicket; his mystery spin could exploit Hobart’s slightly slower surface in the middle overs.
Nathan EllisClaimed 2 for 21 at the MCG including Sanju Samson early and Abhishek Sharma’s crucial wicket in the 19th over with a yorker that sealed the game.

Abhishek averaged 48.57 across 14 T20I innings in 2025 before this tour. Two centuries. Five fifties. His ability to attack pace at the MCG tells you he can dominate anywhere. Head’s 2025 numbers are alarming.

Winning & Toss Odds For India vs Australia 3rd T20I
Source: Mint

In South Africa before this series, he managed 26 runs in three innings. Strike rate under 80. Bowlers figured out his trigger movements. Worked him over with short balls outside off. Marsh’s century against New Zealand came off just 50 deliveries.

He followed that with scores of 85 and 103 not out in his last three international knocks before this series. Bumrah conceded runs in Melbourne but struck twice late when the match was already decided. His control remains elite.

Related Reads:

Conclusion: India’s Fiery Start In The 1st T20I Seems Promising

The washed-out opener in Canberra showed something. India raced to 97 for 1. Gill and Suryakumar both struck at more than 150 before the rain came.

That intent vanished at the MCG. Conditions exposed technical flaws against high-class seam bowling. Hobart presents a middle ground. The Bellerive surface offers early movement before settling into a batting track.

The average first-innings score sits around 147-155. India needs their top order to absorb the new ball better than Melbourne, where Gill, Suryakumar, and Tilak combined for seven runs.

Hazlewood’s absence removes Australia’s most dangerous weapon. Ellis and Bartlett proved capable at the MCG, though. The series stays alive if India level it here.

Another batting collapse raises serious questions about their ability to handle Australian pace when it matters. The weather may have the final say. Australia wants confirmation of its superiority. India needs proof that the MCG was an aberration.

FAQs

What time does the 3rd T20I between India and Australia start in Hobart?

The match begins at 7:15 PM local time on November 2, which converts to 1:45 PM Indian Standard Time for viewers back in India. Evening matches at Bellerive Oval typically see cooler temperatures and potential for dew later in the innings.

Has Bellerive Oval traditionally favored teams batting first or chasing in T20 Internationals?

Historical data shows teams chasing have won 50 percent of matches here, creating an even split. The average first-innings score sits around 147 runs, with teams defending successfully about half the time they post competitive totals above that mark.

Which Australian bowler leads the wicket-taking charts in T20Is played at Bellerive Oval?

Nathan Ellis has been particularly effective at this venue in recent T20I cricket, utilizing the early movement and bounce to trouble top-order batters. His variations in the death overs have also proven valuable on Hobart’s slightly slower surface.

How does the pitch at Bellerive Oval differ from the MCG surface where India collapsed?

The MCG offered excessive bounce and seam movement throughout the innings, creating uneven bounce that made timing difficult. Bellerive provides early assistance to seamers but then flattens considerably, allowing batters to score more freely.

What is India’s historical success rate when chasing targets at Australian venues during T20I matches?

India has chased successfully 45 percent of T20Is played in Australia, with the best results on flatter surfaces in Sydney and Melbourne during the day. Night matches under lights in conditions offering seam movement have proven more challenging for Indian batters.

Tom O'Connor has been following Australian cricket professionally for over a decade, with a keen eye on both local matches and Test series. His deep knowledge, passion for the game, and love for writing provide unique insights, offering a true fan’s perspective on all things cricket.

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